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孙正义主席已经把一切都告诉了大家!2026/11/3

2026-11-03 11:14 · 时长 20分17秒 · 模型 gpt-6.1-sol · 在 B 站打开 ↗
#人工智能 #软银投资 #机器人

孙正义主席已经把一切都告诉了大家!2026/11/3

孙正义认为,AI 与超级智能将带来远超互联网时代的变革,软银正围绕模型、芯片、数据中心及机器人布局,并主张在持续推进技术的同时完善安全规则。

  • 过去的投资只是“热身”:孙正义表示,包括阿里巴巴、Yahoo、Arm 和愿景基金在内的经历,相比即将到来的 AI 变革都只是准备。他认为,AI 的影响规模将远超自己过去参与的事业。

  • 对 AI 的信念源于对微处理器的长期判断:他回忆,17 岁第一次在杂志上看到微处理器照片时,便相信它将改变人类未来,并预计大约需要 50 年,机器的智能就可能超越人脑。他在访谈中自述已 69 岁,认为这一趋势正在数据中心中兑现,并将进一步进入机器人等物理世界。

  • 超级智能的关键是自主创新:主持人提到他此前提出的预测——AI 可能在 十年内达到人类智能的 10,000 倍。孙正义强调,当智能达到这一量级,AI 将能够自行推动技术创新;本段回答没有明确更新这一时间表,也没有说明智能倍数的衡量方法。

  • 他对 AI 改善生活持强烈乐观态度:他设想 AI 能帮助攻克癌症等疾病、减少交通事故、预测自然灾害并提供应对方案。人类则有机会减少不愿承担的劳动,把更多时间投入娱乐、运动、家庭和朋友关系。

  • 面对安全风险,他支持继续推进,同时建立规则:主持人提出 AI 伪造数据、隐瞒错误、未经授权行动,以及对齐与监控不足等问题。孙正义认为,应像汽车社会建立交通规则一样,为 AI 建立行为规范,并通过技术防范网络攻击、约束恶意代理,让 AI 同时具备能力与有益于人类的目标;他不赞成为此放慢整体技术进步。

  • 软银选择覆盖 AI 产业链,建立企业协同体系:其布局涉及大语言模型、芯片、数据中心和机器人。孙正义表示,软银希望通过积极参与被投企业的发展、促进企业间合作来创造价值,并称其在被投企业中通常是最大股东,举例持股比例包括 20%、30%、80%。

  • 机器人是 AI 进入现实世界的重要方向:孙正义称,软银投资组合中已有 超过 30 家机器人公司,正在为这一阶段做准备。针对主持人关于“机器人生产机器人”的提问,他主要强调了机器人布局及其替代繁重、重复劳动的用途,没有展开具体生产规模或技术细节。

  • 给年轻人的学习建议:把 AI 与专业兴趣结合:他建议学习 AI 和超级智能,并将其应用于自己关注的领域,例如利用超级智能提升医学研究与医疗效率。文字稿末尾出现大量重复,后续建议无法完整还原。

▸ 原始转写文字稿(8768 字符)
Masa, welcome to Inside Blackstone. We're so thrilled to have you with us. Yes, thank you very much. It's 11pm in New York and you're joining us from Tokyo. You were born in rural Japan to Korean parents. You moved yourself to California at age 16 and then sold your first technology and electronic translator while still a student at UC Berkeley. You used the proceeds to found SoftBank in 1981. Then over the next four decades, you developed a reputation for seeing technology shifts before other people. You backed some of the defining companies of the internet era before making bold bets on the future of artificial intelligence, including massive infrastructure investments and the largest stake in open AI. But the reason I wanted to have you on doesn't have anything to do with your track record. It's because you have been almost unmatched willingness to keep betting on what's next. At 69, you've said that everything you've done up until this moment has been a warm up for what's to come. So I'd love to, I think that's the most astounding statement. So I wanted to start with that. You know, Alibaba, Yahoo, Arm, the Vision Fund. Is this all really just a warm up? Yeah, I truly think so. What's going to happen on AI is so remarkable, so big. Okay. So it seems that everything that I did in the past was just, you know, tiny things. Tiny, tiny things. Well, so when you talk about what's next, Steve Schwarzman, he said to me, you should really just ask Masa one thing, which is sort of, how do you, how do you see it? How do you get conviction around a big idea? AI was my theme for many, many years. In fact, when I saw the first photograph of the microprocessor at the age of 17, you know, I was reading a magazine on the street and I started crying. Truly, physically, I started crying on the street, just reading popular electronics or something. I said, this is going to change the future of mankind. You know, the microprocessor eventually became so powerful, so smart that it will be smarter than people's brain eventually. It may take some number of years, and I predicted maybe 50 years. It's done right. It's now 50 years. I was 17 years old. I'm 69. So, you know, 50 years. Now, the microprocessors, the power of brain in the data centers, these are all happening. And now it's going to go into the brain of the robotics. Okay. So it's not just, you know, on the virtual world, but also in the physical world, it's going to start to happen. You said you think that could be 10,000 times more intelligent than humans, and that could come within a decade. Has that timetable sped up? No matter what, how you define, if the AI becomes 10,000 times smarter, there's no more debate. It becomes so smart that it will start to innovate in new technology by itself, right? So it's really happening. So paint a picture for me then. What does that world look like? You're obviously an optimist, right, about this AI-enabled future. What does it look like for humankind? They will be happier if the human are happier. If the human is happier by curing our unsolvable disease, like cancer and so on, and make sure we have no more accidents on the street, make sure that there are all kinds of disaster, natural disaster coming. They forecast and they give us solutions. So they become like our surrounding of the brain to help us become more productive, help us become happier, you know, enjoy human-like life. What becomes of human progress? So much of life today, and that you and I probably get out of life is achievement and learning new things each day. What does the human experience become? Well, I think it will be even more fun, okay? We don't have to do what we did not want to do. We can have more joy, more entertainment, more sports, more family engagement, more friends. So more human high touch things, right, that we can do. And yet there's been so much news lately about the risks associated with AI. Even OpenAI recently disclosed new incidents where AI systems had falsified data and hid mistakes and essentially acted without permission, much like the hugging face situation. You know, OpenAI itself says it doesn't believe the industry has solved the alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue reasonably scaling at maximum speed. Do you agree with that? I'm on the side of not really slowing down. Technology development actually is the solution to those kinds of issues. If we are primitive, of course, we need the guidance, the rules, like when the automotive society comes, okay, we create a room that we cannot drink, right? When you are driving, you cannot have alcohol in your brain. You have to stop at the red light, okay? You have to run on one side of the road so that you don't have a crash, okay? You have to create the rules and the manners, the etiquette for the better, you know, society of automotive. We have to do the same thing for the AI, okay? And cyber attack, we suppose not to do. We have to protect the cyber attack by the technology, and we have to protect bad AI agents don't be misbehaved. Like a human supposed not to be misbehaved. We have to teach AI agents, these are the bad things, okay? So it's not just a capable AI agent, we have to create a good AI agent, good in heart, you know, make human happier. That's the goal AI agents supposed to have, okay? So then, you know, it will become smarter, smarter, not to do silly stuff, not to do immoral stuff. Human society to be, you know, respect the other society, other people, other family, right? We have to do the same thing on AI, not slowing down, the progress, make the solution. So we have to go full speed, where's the good intent? So build the good intent into the system while moving at full speed. Yes. So like Blackstone, SoftBank has made major AI infrastructure investments. You've essentially bet the farm in the sense that you're investing across, you know, the LLMs, the chips, the, you know, the data centers, et cetera. Why not pick just one of those areas? No, I wouldn't pick just one, okay? This is the AI era starting, AI generation starting. The history is going to be creative, okay? So I don't have to run one company and be a CEO of one operating company. I can be an investor. I create an ecosystem, ecosystem of group of companies that we invest. We invest, you know, not as a passive investor. We are, you know, more involved with the growth of the company, bringing synergy among our portfolio company. Usually we are largest shareholder of our portfolio company, like 20%, 30%, 80%. Okay. So we have more involvement with each of the CEO, but only focused AI related. You recently said that SoftBank has begun mass producing robots at a physical AI plant with robots producing robots. I'm curious what these robots are being produced to do. Yes. So we are very quietly developing those, our portfolio company, family company. We have more than 30 robotics companies in our portfolio and very quietly preparing the time to come, okay? But as I said in the beginning of the conversation, there's humans still doing a lot of tiring job. Doing dishes like I do. Exactly. Right. We enjoy that, right? So if those things were done by robots, the human can focus doing something more fun, more exciting. I think this story of you at 16 years old, going over to the, you know, really with your own, you know, cleverness, getting in to see the head of McDonald's Japan and asking him one question, which is what should you study? And I'm just curious, uh, what would, what would, if someone asked you today, what to study, what would the answer be? Yeah. AI. AI. Yes. Super intelligence. If you're interested in medicines, okay, the super intelligence for medicine, make it much more productive medicine, okay? Super intelligence for the auto. 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